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Extra resources for A Bayesian estimate of the risk of Tick-Borne deseases
Popkin, R. (1955), 'The skeptical precursors of D. Hume', Philosophy and Phenomenological Research XVI: 61-71. Popkin, R. (1964), The History of Skepticism from Erasmus to Descartes, New York: Humanities Press (Harper and Row paperbacks, 1968). Mario Bunge TWO FACES AND THREE MASKS OF PROBABILITY The concept of probability has fascinated and puzzled numerous philosophers since its inception three and a half centuries ago. Mathematicians and scientists too, whether basic or applied, have often taken part in philosophical discussions on probability.
Note that the theory based on these sole assumptions is semiabstract insofar as it does not specify the nature of the elements of the basic set S nor, a fortiori, those of the probability space F. On the other hand the range of Pr is fully interpreted: it is not an abstract set but the unit interval of the real line. Hence the semi. Were it not for the semantic indeterminacy of the domain F of the probability function, the calculus could not TWO FACES AND THREE MASKS OF PROBABILITY 31 be applied everywhere, from physics and astronomy and chemistry to biology and psychology to sociology.
Ville, Jean (1939), Etude critique de la notion de collectif. Paris: Gauthier-Villars. Wald, Abraham (1950), Statistical Decision Functions. New York: Wiley. Halo Scardovi AMBIGUOUS USES OF PROBABILITY I An urn contalOlOg a hundred thousand little balls is set in front of me. I can perceive no difference between them and I am told that each bears a number of the natural series from one to a hundred thousand. I draw out a ball and read the number: whatever it is, the result leaves me indifferent.